By Tyler King
MADISON, Wisconsin: Kansas‘ legislative elections in 2012 are more competitive than most of the country, based on Ballotpedia’s Competitiveness index which captures the extent of electoral competitiveness exhibited in state legislative elections.
About the Competitiveness index:
The Ballotpedia state legislative competitive index looks at three factors: is the incumbent running for re-election in a district; if so, does he or she draw a primary challenge; and are there two major party candidates in the general election.
Ballotpedia’s index is created by summing the three percentages and then dividing by three. Each state is given 1 point for each percentage. Then, the points are added up and divided by three to establish the index rating. 1 is least competitive and 100 equals most competitive.
The comprehensive 2012 state legislative competitive index will be released following the completion of the primaries in all 44 states with 2012 state legislative elections. It will examine all 6,015 state legislative seats that are up for election on November 6, 2012.
Once a state releases official primary candidate lists, Ballotpedia staff analyzes the data to determine primary competitiveness. Just one state remains that has passed their filing deadline, but has not been analyzed by Ballotpedia staff – New York.
Kansas in 2012:
Kansas’ filing deadline was on June 11, 2012. It was the 38th state to be analyzed by Ballotpedia staff and the inclusion of its data brought the national index to 37.53 in 2012.
In Kansas, there are 165 total state legislative seats with elections in 2012 and nearly all current incumbents are seeking re-election.
Of those 165, 40 are State Senate seats and 125 are State House seats. A total of 129 incumbents (78.2%) are seeking re-election this year. There are 53 (41.1%) incumbents running for re-election that face primary opposition. Additionally, there are 50 (30.3%) districts where an incumbent is not seeking re-election within that district. For November’s general elections, there will be 116 (70.3%) seats where more than one major party candidate will appear on the ballot.
|The current nationwide index is37.10
• 43 states analyzed •
(updated July 20, 2012)
Comparison to 2010:
In 2010, Kansas ranked 34th in overall competitiveness.
- 8% of Districts were open seats, increasing to 30.3% in 2012.
- 20% of incumbents faced primary opposition, increasing to 41.1% in 2012.
- 57.6% of Districts had more than one major party candidate in the general election, compared to 70.3% in 2012.
- Kansas’ 2010 competitiveness index was 28.5, compared to 47.2 in 2012.