Greg Janetka
This week’s tracker features a partisan count update and recap of this year’s primary season.
Note: This is an abridged version of the Tracker. For the full report, click here.
Weekly highlight
The 2012 primary season came to an end last Thursday when New York voters went to the polls to make their choices known. The first primary of the year took place in Ohio over six months ago. Between then and September 13 a total of 44 states held primaries for 6,015 of the country’s 7,383 state legislative seats.
According to Louis Jacobson of Governing Magazine, the percent of state legislative turnover from an election was between 14.4 percent and 21.5 percent from 1998 to 2008. However, during the year of redistricting in 2002, that figure jumped to 24 percent. In 2010, the turnover rate was just below 2010, as the GOP boom created a higher than normal exodus of legislators. Because 2012 was another redistricting year, the rate of turnover was expected to once again be higher than usual.[1]
Redistricting, among other factors, led to the defeat of 197 incumbents in the 2012 legislative primaries – 123 Republicans and 74 Democrats. Four states saw their number of incumbents defeated hit the double-digit mark: New Hampshire – 22, Kansas – 20, Georgia – 12, Tennessee – 12. Six states, meanwhile, saw no incumbents defeated – California, Indiana, Maine, Nebraska, Vermont and Washington. It should be noted that two of these states – California and Washington – use a blanket primary, where all candidates for a seat compete in a single primary with the two candidates receiving the most votes advancing to the general election.
Term limits will also play a role in legislative turnover. Altogether, 248 current state legislators – 79 senators and 169 representatives – will have to leave office after the November elections because of term limits. This is 13.89% of the 1,786 state legislative seats up for election in the 14 term-limited states with 2012 elections, and about 4% of the 6,015 state legislative seats that will be up for election altogether in 2012, including the non-term-limited states.
Between incumbents defeated in primaries and term-limited lawmakers, at least 445 state legislative seats will change hands. Additionally, 947 legislators not subject to term limits chose to retire rather than seek another term. Thus, a minimum of 1,392 new officials will take office following the November 6, 2012 general election.
Partisan Breakdown
As of today, September 17, 2012, the following figures represent the cumulative partisan breakdown of the 50 state senates and 49 state houses. In the 50 states, Republicans currently control 53.5% of all seats while Democrats hold 44.7%. All told, Republicans control 58 chambers while Democrats are the majority in 37 chambers. Three chambers are tied, while one is non-partisan.
The totals represent a loss of 11 Republican and 5 Democratic legislators from the August 13 Tracker.
| Representation in 50 State Legislatures |
| Party |
Number of |
Percentage |
| Democratic state legislators |
3,300 |
44.7% |
| Republican state legislators |
3,950 |
53.5% |
| Independent state legislators |
71 |
0.96% |
| Third party (and non-voting) legislators |
12 |
0.16% |
| Vacancies |
32 |
0.43% |
State Senates
The partisan composition of state senates refers to which political party holds the majority of seats in the state senate. Altogether, in the 50 state senates, there are 1,971 state senators.
As of September 17, 2012, the breakdown of chamber control by party is as follows:
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- See also: Partisan composition of state houses
Cumulative numbers
As of September 17, 2012, 1,899 state senators are affiliated with either the Republican or Democratic parties.
| Party |
Number of |
Percentage |
| Democratic state senators |
872 |
44.2% |
| Republican state senators |
1,027 |
52.1% |
| Non-partisan state senators |
49 |
2.49% |
| Independent state senators |
4 |
0.2% |
| Third Party state senators |
2 |
0.10% |
| Vacancies |
9 |
0.45% |
State Houses
The partisan composition of state houses refers to which party holds the majority of seats in the state house or the lower level of each state legislature. Altogether, in the 49 state houses, there are 5,413 state representatives.
As of September 17, 2012, the breakdown of chamber control by party is as follows:
18 chambers
30 chambers
1 chamber (Oregon)
Cumulative numbers
As of September 17, 2012, 5,354 state representatives are affiliated with either the Republican or Democratic parties.
| Party |
Number of |
Percentage |
| Democratic state representatives |
2,428 |
44.9% |
| Republican state representatives |
2,923 |
54% |
| Independent state representatives |
18 |
0.33% |
| Third party (and non-voting) representatives |
10 |
0.18% |
| Vacancies |
23 |
0.42% |
Sessions
This week 3 out of 50 state legislatures – Michigan, New Jersey and Ohio – are meeting in regular session, while Massachusetts is meeting in informal session, which it will continue to do throughout the rest of the year. As of May 16, all states had convened their 2012 sessions.
Forty states have adjourned for the year, while four states – Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, and Texas – were not scheduled to hold regular sessions in 2012.
Special sessions
In 2011, special sessions were a widespread occurrence in state legislatures. This was largely due to states’ having to complete the redistricting process for legislative and congressional districts. Overall in 2011, there were 45 special sessions in 28 states.
Since the beginning of 2012, there have been 20 special sessions in 16 states. There are no special sessions currently scheduled.